CBUAE projects UAE GDP growth of 4.7 percent in 2025, 5.7 percent in 2026

The UAE’s economy is poised for substantial growth, according to the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE). Its latest Quarterly Economic Review forecasts a 4.7 percent GDP increase in 2025, with further acceleration to 5.7 percent in 2026.

The report highlighted that the UAE’s non-oil trade surpassed AED2 trillion in the first nine months of 2024, representing a 14.9 percent year-on-year rise, “reflecting the successful implementation of the UAE’s economic diversification plans and strengthening ties with its key trading partners.”

The non-hydrocarbon sector is anticipated to expand by 5.1 percent in 2025, as noted by the CBUAE. Similarly, the hydrocarbon sector is set for a 3.6 percent growth in 2025, followed by an impressive 8.5 percent increase in 2026. This growth is supported by gradual increases in oil production as OPEC+ lifts production cuts, alongside ongoing and planned upstream and midstream oil and gas projects.
The report also indicated that the UAE’s airports experienced a 10 percent increase in passenger traffic in 2024. “Abu Dhabi Airports reported significant growth, handling 29.4 million passengers in 2024, a 28.1 percent increase from 2023, driven by network expansion, strategic partnerships, and a focus on delivering a world-class passenger experience,” the report stated. “Abu Dhabi’s expanding role as a leisure and business travel hub significantly contributes to the UAE’s economic diversification efforts.”

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